Yesterday Infosys fell. And while I would love to
dissect that entire process of Infosys falling I think perhaps it’s time that
industry veterans, your next door mom and pop brokers and you yourself went
back to the drawing board and reworked your investment strategy.
First things first Infosys falling was like a little child
rolling down from the top of a hill. At first his parents feel thrill then they
smell fear and finally they run to check whether their kid is hurt or not.
The point being that if shares like Infosys can fall no
amount of thumbs of rules can save you from the volatility of the market. A
huge load of optimists will look at the share technically, some will look at it
fundamentally and still mark it as a value buy. To all these blind men and
women eventually the stock has tripped. Think of it as a miniature circuit
breaker or MCB connected to your air conditioner and it’s tripped not one but
twice now. A similar incident happened last year.
So what does this tell us?
Steer clear of the markets? Absolutely not. But it does give
us an indication that even the maharajas can faulter. That fortunes can swindle
from one extreme to the other. Everything that does go up will come down. And
no matter how fundamentally strong and technically strong a stock may be and no
matter how many buy ratings are put on a stock by the analysts a stock can
fall.
Some people will now ask for a similar example. Refer to the
monumental fall of Reliance where a head and shoulders pattern emerged wiping
out investor wealth over a period of six to eight months.
The purpose behind writing this entire article is to focus
on the need for diversification.
More on that in the future.
On behalf of Doodle inc
(Udit Raj Sabharwal)
